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Building a sports betting model exce best bets of the day world cup

Saturday 18st, February 7:17:20 Pm
Creating a Sports Betting Model 101 - Intro to Linear Regression (The simplest model ever created!)

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One of the most common questions we get at Clear Data Sports is "How can I build a sports betting model using analytics?" It's a great question, and there. Australia Sports Betting offers an Excel betting tracker spreadsheet that is free to download. Three versions of the spreadsheet are available basic, standard and advanced.

Users of OpenOffice should use the OpenOffice Calc version of the spreadsheet. A Google Sheets betting tracker is also available. Use of the Betting Tracker Worksheet is conditional upon you reading and accepting the Terms of Use for Australia Sports Betting.

Basically, it is a condition of use that you do not rely upon the information and resources provided by this website when placing bets.

Please verify everything for yourself. It is also a condition of use that you do not make this spreadsheet, or any variant of it, available elsewhere. Simple Model Guide Excel nacreo.usbook. Submitted 5 years ago by derekjohn[].

To make any kind of data model for simple analysis, we are going to need the following sections 1. A way to get our data of the sport we want to play. A way to update our data with every passing game in the sport so our analysis can be more and more accurate as the season goes on This is really important because doing it manually can take a lot of time, we want this automated.

For the purpose of this model, I'm going to use the NBA as the sport I'm focusing on. Now, first we need to find a webpage that is always kept up to date and that holds tables of data on the NBA. Build a macro to auto do it for you. I think you can even record macros and turn them into buttons. Anyone new to Sports Betting will definitely have to read multiple times but other than that you will find things in the book that you never thought of.

The Author has helped me with models created by him to get you started which has been very helpful. Andrew - your book promises a link to the Excel models. Please provide purchasers with a way to get the files. However, building a sports betting model can be difficult and time consuming. There are various instructions and orders advised for you to follow when creating a model, which can complicate the process. With that said, once you have created a successful betting model it can show you opportunities that the general betting public simply wouldn’t consider.

The next step is to actually build the sports betting model. There are numerous tools to use including online calculators, Excel, MatLab, Java, R programming and VBA. You don’t have to be a wiz at programming to build a sports betting model, but the more you understand the functionality, the better equipped you will become when testing and analysing the data. Start by marking Statistical Sports Models in Excel as Want to Read Want to Read saving Want to Read.

Many people are interested in learning how to make smarter sports betting wagers. Not many of those same people are excited at the prospect of learning applied statistics to better inform their choices. You can't entirely blame them. Statistics has a well-earned reputation for being somewhat inaccessible by What does it take to create a winning sports betting model? Many people are interested in learning how to make smarter sports betting wagers. Not many of those same people are excited at the prospect of learning applied statistics to better inform their choices. Run Sports Betting Like a Business.

No other special knowledge or tools required. I can bet sports all day and I know I'm making a profit, but wasn't truly tracking my performance. I knew I should be though, and wow was I right. Mainly I work with growth stage companies, helping them put in place all the best accounting practices, financial modeling, working with investors, and financial reporting and analysis.

I have worked as a CFO exclusively to growing companies for 10+ years, bringing my past corporate experience, my passion for the entrepreneur community, and experience helping over + startups succeed.

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Part of the Building a Sports Science Monitoring System on Excel series for nacreo.us The video tutorial takes Tracking Your Sports Betting Results in Excel. The Oracle Pro Sports Handicapper. One of the most common questions we get at Clear Data Sports is "How can I build a sports betting model using analytics?

How to create a simple sports betting model and start winning?. Pro Excel Financial Modeling provides the keys necessary to learn this thinking and to build the models that will illustrate it. Stepbystep approach to developing financial models in Excel.

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Extensive case studies and Excel templates provided.

Learn the business thinking behind successful financial modeling aimed at investors. Communicate effectively with investors. Explore advanced modeling with Microsoft Excel, including Cost of Information Technology, Customer ROI, Cost of Sales and Marketing, Cost of Goods Sold, Team and Staffing, Profit and Loss. Football Asian Handicap betting model win twice the three outcomes of the match.

The football betting field, as the most frequented sports betting game, has the biggest audience in the world. Based on probability theories, the betting games are described by an important number of playing models.

Actually, with the Odds based betting and the expected goals betting models, the Football Asian Handicap betting model is an important strategic model that has made a respectable reputation. This model is particular and it is built on a different way from the two others.

The fact is, the football Asia.

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Search for jobs related to Sports betting excel or hire on the world's largest freelancing marketplace with 16m+ jobs. It's free to sign up and bid on jobs. WORKER MUST HAVE demonstrated experience in building fully integrated financial business models.

This will be a multi phase project. Phase 1 will be to take data monthly data from QuickBooks and put it in an excel spreadsheet.

Phase 2 will be building a financial model business plan that will include income statement, balance sheet and statement of cash flow.

Accounting Business Analysis Excel Finance Financial Analysis. How to build a sports betting model. 6 steps to building a betting model. A betting model is an independent point of reference from which you can determine the probability of an outcome in a chosen match. Through the use of statistics, spreadsheets and databases, the model should bring a more accurate picture of a team’s potential or form’ than the odds given by bookmakers. If you’re able to recognise value in any given betting market that others may not, then you’re halfway towards owning a fully functioning model which serves its purpose, though, as has been mention.

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GitHub is where people build software.

More than 40 million people use GitHub to discover, fork, and contribute to over million projects. Sports betting assistant which optimizes earnings regarding odds and offers. Arbitrage sports-betting betting-odds gambling-strategy. Updated Feb 22, Python scripts to pull MLB Gameday and stats data, build models, predict outcomes, make plays. Python numpy baseball mlb sports-betting baseball-statistics pybaseball. How to build a Sports Betting Model The most common question I get asked from followers and even friends is 'how do you make a sports betting model?' This question isn't easy to answer, because the starting point for each individual varies.

Some need to learn statistics first and others just need. How to build a Sports Betting Model The most common question I get asked from followers and even friends is 'how do you make a sports betting model?'.

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Free download excel sports betting model Files at Software Informer. The PSB Calculator is a brilliant device that enables you to bet on multiple selections in a sporting event so that whichever selection wins, you win, too. Practical Sports Betting Calculator Brilliant device that enables you to bet on multiple selections in a sport event.

Bet on multiple selections in a sporting of your bets, the size. Professional bettors arb’ sports betting sites by covering all outcomes of an event, in order to profit from the difference in their odds.

For a basic arbitrage bet you’ll have to apply the Back high, Lay low philosophy. This means backing value odds at the Bookmaker and then Laying against it with an opposing exchange bet at lower odds in order to lock-in risk free profits. Successful sports betting is a long-term game, backed up by a large sample of data.

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Hitting hot streaks from a few winners over the weekend is fun, but ultimately proves nothing. So without a doubt, you need to be analytical to reach the highest levels of professional sports betting.

And if that’s not you, then no sweat. There’s nothing to stop you exploiting several of the entry-level techniques outlined earlier on in this post. Building a sports betting model begins with understanding what it is you are trying to achieve and understanding what metric you are going to use to create probability, so it will help if you’re useful with a spreadsheet!

Knowing the sport and its markets are also crucial and once all of that is in place, it is all about data. Data is the skin and bones of any good sports betting model. A good starting point for most models is to add final scores to your spreadsheet, but things such as shots, conversion rates, position of shots and more can all be factored in.

It’s a very complicated process t. Seminar 2 Building a statistical model for tournament sports. Seminar 3 Statistical modelling for football betting. Statistical connections a personal journey from mainstream statistics to sports betting. Some moments in the history of probability and statistics. My personal journey in statistics. Some connections in statistics. Statistics for sports betting? The use of statistics to try to win money on sports betting markets is often regarded as frivolous.

No argument against this statistics is a wonderfully rich subject with many more important applications in innumerate fields Statistics for sports betting? The use of statistics to try to win money on sports betting markets is often regarded as frivolous.

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nacreo.us Betting News Betting Advice Money Management Betting Systems How to Start Building a Betting Model. How to Start Building a Betting Model. You can’t be a master of everything straightaway, so pick a sport and a league, championship, cup or whatever it is you’re focussing on and the wager in question. This may be as simple as who wins, or it could go into the nitty-gritty of details like the player to score the most goals. It has to be something that’s not yet in progress, in order to give you the best possible opportunities to examine the facts, before coming up with your results.

You might be tempted to go for an obscure betting market, but this can be a false economy. On day two we begin building our Excel portfolio management worksheet. We begin with the raw securities price data set.

You can download the data set here. And end with a return series sheet with individual security and portfolio metrics Once the Excel spreadsheet is completed we will explore a number of portfolio optimization challenges in the following posts.

These include Beating the performance of a given benchmark index. Creating a Sports Betting Model - Intro to Expectation Monte Carlo Simulations! In order to make a sound prediction on how a game will play out, it may not be a bad idea to learn how expectation works. One of the most common questions we get is "How can I build a model for sports betting?" It's a great question, and there is not currently much helpful information available on the topic.

Over the next 3 weeks, we will attempt to tackle thi. Football Betting Strategies - Using Mathematical Models for Football Betting Tips. Sports betting is one of these perfect problems for machine learning algorithms and specifically classification neural networks. Tons of data available and a clear objective of picking the winner! Nonetheless, classic classification models are not well suited for betting strategies, and one needs to use a custom loss function in his neural network to achieve better profitability.

Applied to sports betting, we could devise a neural network with three simple categories. Below is the architecture of such a network. However, from our previous example with two simple betting strategies, it is clear that we are not trying to predict the outcome of the game, but rather what bet would be the most profitable. Applied to a classification neural network, this would result in the following architecture.

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Unlike many forms of gambling online the sports betting market is pretty much well regulated and if you understand how to get an edge you can make money. Just like the forex markets and using EA’s Expert Advisers you can create your own bots and even back test them to see what happens with historical data.

It sounds good to the average punter to have computer chosen picks that take the human bias out of the equasion though but its always nonsense when someone is trying to share or sell it. It would take a large number of people to do this properly, not some kid who at best is using some excel formulas. It take time, hard work and discipline to make a profit long term in sports betting. I have a betting log on quora here where I am Continue Reading. Creating a Sports Betting Model - Intro to Linear Regression The simplest model ever created!

If you have watched my previous videos, you will have seen me say the only way you stand a chance at sports betting is to have a mathematical model.

The problem is most people have no idea what exactly a model is, or where to start. Using Excel to increase your odds in winning in sports betting. This spreadsheet will scan each payout value to find best overall profitable combinations reducing your odds from 50 to 88 win rate If interested in purchasing, contact me for more d. So we build a tool that we want to offer you for FREE!

How to use smart stats for betting. After we published the article on using the Kelly Criterion for football betting we received a lot of requests from people asking us to show how they could use our smart football stats we are providing to generate their own value bets. Kelly Criterion Excel calculator for football betting. After writing the "Kelly Criterion, the value of value bets" article we got a few requests from fellow sports bettors for an excel file that contains the wisdom from that article and. Sign up for my DAILY NHL PICKS nacreo.us My Book How to Sports Bet Like a Pro nacreo.us.

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Financial modeling in Excel is the process of building a financial model to represent a transaction, operation, merger, acquisition, financial information to analyze how a change in one variable can affect the final return so as to make a decision on one or more of the aforementioned financial transactions. What is Financial modeling in Excel? Financial Modeling training is all around the web and there has been lot written about learning Financial Modeling, however, most of the financial modeling pieces of training are exactly the same.

This goes beyond the usual gibberish and explores practic. Excel Sports Management is an industry-leading management and marketing agency for talent, brands and properties. nacreo.us New York, Los Angeles, Miami. This is the remake of my first video trying to show you how you can make money from sports betting using kelly criterion and comparing prices from several booking companies. I hope it will help you this is the website i am using to compare prices nacreo.us this is a link where you can downolad the excel.

I use nacreo.us to find similar matches and select which data should be used as inputs for my excel files.

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Ernesto Guzman In reply to Florin Miu. How to Build a Sports Betting Model Part 1. How To Bet Like An Investor 5 Tips. The author also provides excellent working excel betting models. This is the book I wish was around when I first started building statistical models. Not only do you get an explanation of some excel models but they’re also available to download so you can work with them while reading the book.

Anyone looking to start out in sports modelling can’t go wrong starting with this book.

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The explosive rise and spread of legalized sports betting in the United States has prompted many to develop or renew an interest in a more quantitative, data-driven methodology for predicting the outcomes of sporting events. Intro to Monte Carlo Simulations. The percentage or probability that we are supplying, in this case in Excel, comes from a pseudo random number generator that outputs a value greater than or equal to 0 and less 1, notated mathematically as [0,1.

When the simulation was run to construct these graphics, that random value produced by Excel for the Yankees was For the purposes of the model we are building, we will employ logic that converts any negative scores to a score of. Abstract The online sports gambling industry employs teams of data analysts to build forecast models that turn the odds at sports games in their favour.

While several betting strategies have been proposed to beat bookmakers, from expert prediction models and arbitrage strategies to odds bias exploitation, their returns have been inconsistent and it remains to be shown that a betting strategy can outperform the online sports betting market.

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We designed a strategy to beat football bookmakers with their own numbers.

Instead of building a forecasting model to compete with bookmakers predictions. Building A Tennis Betting Model. These are a dime-a-dozen not just in tennis betting, but in any form of sports betting, forex or crypto trading and the like. You can spot them a mile off with their outlandish claims, sales funnel landing pages and one time only discounts’.

I usually charge for this course, but if you order in the next 5 mins, I will give this to you for just 20. Before, introducing monetary variables into a model, it’s important to first give a sense of return from a pure points perspective. This is because how any one individual chooses to implement a strategy from a risk management and staking perspective will vary from one person to another.

So let’s first look at the purest form of return points risked versus points won. We would appreciate your help in building complex excel sheets and automation. As a rapidly growing startup, recently we faced a problem with tracking our data. And with the addition of a new building, it will be impossible for us to stay updated with everything that is going on. I am pretty dissent excel user, but as I was I am looking for someone who is confident they can develop a Sports betting modelsoftware that can predict the outcome of tennis matches on a daily basis with a 75 accuracy.

I need a highly accurate model that I know I can trust. The model will need to evaluate games mainly within the odds of to + whoever if it includes other games with worse odds this is also acceptable.

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This video is intentionally low level to educate the absolute novice about the basics of building a sports betting model using a simple linear regression approach in Microsoft Excel. The model demoed in this video is very simple and therefore will not win you money in the long run. The purpose of the model is to illustrate the concepts and principles behind a linear regression model.

The idea is to take this video and learn the basics and then advance your sports betting analytical skills to more complex methods. This channel is a tout free safe space that has zero tolerance for touting or spe.

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There are many different variants of these betting models depending on what your aim and the end goal is. Some of these are more profitable and some less so. To build a betting model, you must start by deciding what the betting model should be focused on. This can be, for example, that you want to build a betting model, that can help you predict the probability of the over and under market for the total number of goals in the Spanish league.

Our tip is that you begin with the simplest program, Excel. You don’t need to be a computer whizz to be able to build a model, but the more experience you have with handling data, the easier and faster it will be.

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Download free Excel files financial model templates. Home Resources Templates Excel Financial Model Templates. CFI’s financial model template library has hundreds of free Excel file downloads to help you become a world-class financial analyst. Financial Models and Schedules. This balance sheet template provides you with a foundation to build your own company's financial statement showing the total assets, liabilities and shareholders' equity.

This income statement template provides you with a foundation to build your own monthly or annual summary of revenues and expenses.

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Rating Systems for Sports Prediction. Sports Betting and Risk Management. Risks and Returns for Fixed Odds Betting. Perhaps the most common investment income is that achieved through a bank or building society savings account, the size of which will be determined by the interest rate. A savings account holder, of course, may choose to reinvest any income earned by the capital by leaving it where it is. Such income compounded over time will allow the initial capital to grow. One might ask at this point, what has all this got to do with sports betting?

After all, isn't sports betting just a form of gambling, and what has gambling got to do with investing? The answer to these questions will 7.

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In this video, I give a tutorial on how to simulate sports games in excel using monte carlo simulations and explain other ways in How to Build a Sports Betting Model Part 1. One of the most common questions we get is "How can I build a model for sports betting?" It's a great question, and there is not NFL Football Sports Betting Handicapping System, Strategy Model. 99 of winning sports bettors the that are out there don't do any media.

They hide, paranoid about anybody learning Creating a Sports Betting Model - Int.

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Related posts of "Sports Betting Strategy Spreadsheet". Free Construction Schedule Spreadsheet. The spreadsheet is found on the FDIC site. It will also inform you how much tax that you will pay on the property based on the budget tax changes, in particular Section 24 mortgage debt relief.

Our betting pool spreadsheet is very straightforward to use. To begin, you are want to determine how you have The template is an Excel spreadsheet composed of 25 sheets in the total workbook. Instead of typing the specific answers to the specific same queries time once, templates enable you to rapidly send the specific same information in an email without needing to retype everything.

There are lots of kinds of travel planner templates, which Other Samples of Sports Betting Strategy Spreadsheet.

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But excel already has built in the poison distribution formula and the data are available in xls files. You think python would be easier? Hello i have a macro excel sheet that ruin super fine on my pc excel but on my laptop excel i can an error error "object doesn't A long formula stopped the Macro.

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However, building a sports betting model can be difficult and time consuming. There are various instructions and orders advised for you to follow when creating a model, which can complicate the process.

With that said, once you have created a successful betting model, it can show you opportunities that the general betting public simply wouldn't consider. For this example we use an approach similar to the Actuarial Control Cycle a quantitative risk assessment employed by insurance companies.

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I have built an excel program which compares the 1x2 and UO odds for about 20 bookies. It basically compares 1 The soft bookies with Pinnacle and Sbobet 2 The soft bookies between themselves. I customised it in a way so that I can easily input the percentage difference for an "alert" to show up, Obviously, since this is excel, it is not an automatic program, in the sense that i did macros where with the click of a button i download the data as excel data, copypaste it in the program itself, and click a.

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With the exclusive Bet O'Clock sports bet tracker, you can revolutionize the way you manage and track your wagers. Click this link to get the sports bet. The sports bet tracker is an innovative way to manage your bets and chart your successes and failures. By combining statistical analysis and performance graphs of your personal betting info, users can generate an impressive overview of their betting history. It is especially useful for players with multiple accounts.

By using the tracker, you see all actions taken with various bookmakers. Also, using Excel avoids any tedious calculations. The in-built formulas automatically calculate Money available in each of your accounts.

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Building a sports betting model usually entails long hours of tedious data entry, sorting spreadsheets, setting up databases, testing, and retesting, with no guarantees of cracking the code. Oddsmakers do exactly this, but on a much more intense scale, with hundreds of people contributing to their model. While Excel is usually a good place to start, especially if you’re competent with VBA programming, other tools such as R or Python will allow you to manipulate much larger set of data and essentially, make your data dance.

With the proliferation of machine learning, being able to incorporate some aspects of this will definitely improve your sports betting model. Understand The Sports And The Betting Markets.

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Building an NHL Model for Sports Betting. Explanation Betting Tips How to make money betting on sports Get Winning Sports Picks Here New Program Soccer Betting Analysis. Using Excel to increase your odds in winning in sports betting.

This spreadsheet will scan each payout value to find best overall profitable combinations guaranteed success rate sports betting combinations in football.

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Here at Alpha Sports betting, we want all our readers to progress in the betting world, hence it would be easier for you to have a list of some of the most effective horse racing betting strategies to boost your potential bets. If you are also interested we have compiled a list of the best books on the market that deal with betting and betting strategies.

Here are 5 horse-betting strategies that will surely benefit you in the market. This is a very simple strategy that we have to get out of the way. This strategy is built on the relationship the jockey has with the horse.

The advantage of this strategy is that the jockey is familiar to the horse, the way the horse races and the weaknesses that the horse might have. The jockey can quickly adapt, knowing what to expect in the race.

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Sports betting is the activity of predicting sports results and placing a wager on the outcome. The frequency of sports bet upon varies by culture, with the vast majority of bets being placed on association football, American football, basketball, baseball, hockey, track cycling, auto racing, mixed martial arts, and boxing at both the amateur and professional levels.

Sports betting can also extend to non-athletic events, such as reality show contests and political elections, and non-human contests.

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Below you will find download links to all available CSV data files to use for quantitative testing of betting systems in spreadsheet applications like Excel. League tables, headstatistics and information on goalscrores, first scorers and top scorers can now be accessed through the Livescore service. Latest betting odds are available through the Odds Comparison. You are free experiment with the data yourselves, but if you are looking for a bespoke Excel application that has been desinged specifically to work with Football-Data's files, visit BetGPS for an exceptional data analysis wo.

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Rating Systems for Sports Prediction. Sports Betting and Risk Management. Risks and Returns for Fixed Odds Betting. Traditional sources of investment have included banks and building societies, stock markets and property. Profits from these types of investment may come in two forms, to a greater or lesser extent, depending on the nature of the investment.

These are capital growth and income.

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Sports betting is a popular past-time for many and a great use-case for an important concept known as dynamic programming that I’ll introduce in this video. We'll go over concepts like value iteration, the markov decision process, and the bellman o. Premier League Machine Learning Model Based on Bet Odds. So far have been looking at the goals scoredconceded from nacreo.us?leagueengland as input to a Poisson model to estimate the results? One of the most common questions we get is "How can I build a model for sports betting?" It's a great question, and there is not currently much helpful information available on the topic.

Over the next 3 weeks, we will attempt to tackle thi.

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The templates featured below also work with OpenOffice and Google Spreadsheets, so if you don't own a version of Microsoft Excel, the only thing stopping you from making a budget is the time to download and the determination to get your finances under control. A yearly budget planner with more categories including child care and other family expenses.

Yearly budget planner with categories for a single individual.

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Sports betting is gaining a firm ground as an emerging business. An estimated 60 million Nigerians engaged in betting every week and that number is expected rise as more Nigerians turn to gambling as a source of income. CCTV's Kelechi Emekalam report.

One of the most common questions we get is "How can I build a model for sports betting?" It's a great question, and there is not currently much helpful information available on the topic. Over the next 3 weeks, we will attempt to tackle thi.

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Why use a sports betting tracker? The sports bet tracker is an simple, but great way to handle your bets and chart your successes and failures. With statistical analysis and performance graphs of your wagers, using it will give you a complete and comprehensive overview of your betting history. It is especially useful for players with multiple accounts, as you’ll be able to follow each bet placed with various bookmakers. And when it comes to the maths, the hard work is already done.

The in-built Excel formulas avoid any calculations whatsoever. Here’s what you’ll be able to calculate Money ava.

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